Kickoff: 1754748000
Stoke
Derby
Championship, Venue: bet365 Stadium (Stoke, England)

Stoke City vs Derby County: Prediction and Stream Info

Derby County will travel to face Stoke in the 1st round of the English second tier on August 9, 2025. The fixture will be held at bet365 Stadium, Stoke.

Stoke vs Derby H2H History

The rivalry continues as Derby and Stoke City meet again after three months. Their last game finished with a 0-0 draw at Pride Park Stadium. Derby County recorded 4 shots on target while possessing the ball for 52% of the time, compared to Stoke City who had 1 attempts on goal and controlled the ball for 48% of the game.

Stoke vs Derby Prediction

It seems likely that Stoke City could win the match. Still, recent results indicate a victory for Derby. When models don't align, that's your cue to investigate more stats. Our analysis suggests BTTS "No", though the margins are thin. Under 2.5 goals is our choice, but proceed with caution.
Match Winner
H2H Analysis
Stoke
moderate
Current Form
Derby
strong
Betting Trend
Stoke
weak
Our pick: Stoke to win @ 2.30
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Will Both Teams Score?
H2H Analysis
No
moderate
Current Form
No
weak
Betting Trend
No
moderate
Our pick: BTTS No @ 1.69
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Total Match Goals Over/Under?
H2H Analysis
Over 2.5
moderate
Current Form
Under 2.5
moderate
Betting Trend
Under 2.5
strong
Our pick: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.49
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Stoke vs Derby Live Stream & TV Stations

You can stream the Stoke vs. Derby match live via a range of platforms. United Kingdom residents can enjoy live streaming on Sky. Paramount+ offers live streaming coverage for North American audiences. Residents of France have access to the live action of this event on beIN and Free. Residents of Argentina can watch this matchup live via Disney+. The live broadcast of this clash is brought to Bosnia and Herzegovina by Arena Sport 1. For those located in Malta, GO TV and TSN Malta 1 will provide full live streaming of this match. Setanta Sports 1 allows fans across Moldova to watch this meeting as it happens. More live streaming services may be added; we'll update with new details. See the current links below:

Live Streams for Stoke vs Derby

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UK
🇺🇸
USA
🇫🇷
France
🇦🇷
Argentina
🇨🇦
Canada
🇵🇹
Portugal

TV Stations for Stoke vs Derby

Stoke City is Struggling for Consistency

Stoke's current run appears inconsistent. The Potters have had 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses in their most recent ten matches (40% win ratio). On 2 August 2025, Stoke City beat Burnley 1-0 at home; now they will face Derby.
In their recent 10 matches across all competitions, the Potters scored 8 goals, averaging 0.8 per game, and conceded 14 in total (1.4 avg/match). They had 2.6 shots on target per game on average. The team averaged 1.2 cards and 3.4 corners per match. Stoke City possession stood at 45%. During this period, the leading scorers were Ben Wilmot with 2 goals, Lewis Baker with 1, Sorba Thomas with 1 goal, and Million Manhoef (1). Jordan Thompson topped the assist chart with 1.
On their journey, Stoke achieved some important outcomes. A recent achievement was the 1-0 win at home against Burnley (a friendly match on 2 Aug 2025). This adds to another good result from Apr 18, 2025, the 2-0 win at home vs. Sheffield Wed in Championship. On top of that, Stoke City got a 1-0 win against Cardiff playing away in Championship.

Stoke Streaks (last matches)

• Stoke City has not lost in their last 3 games.

Encouraging Results for Derby County

Derby County takes on Stoke in this away match in a pretty good form. The Rams are riding a wave of confidence, with 6 victories in their last 10 matches. Derby County enters this game following a 2-0 home victory over Atromitos Athens (2 August 2025).
In their recent 10-match run, Derby County scored 17 times (1.7/match) and allowed 10 goals (1 per match). The team was shown 0.9 cards per match, and won 3.6 corners on average. They had 3.3 shots on target per game and a possession of 44%. During this period, the leading scorers were Corey Blackett-Taylor with 5 goals, Kayden Jackson with 2, Ebou Adams with 2 goals, and Danny Batth (1). Key assist providers were Craig Forsyth with 1, Marcus Harness with 1, and Ebou Adams with 1.
Consistently, Derby County delivered results worth noting. Their most recent notable result was a 2-0 win at at home against Atromitos in a friendly match (Aug 2, 2025). Earlier, they also secured a 2-1 win away against RB Salzburg in a friendly match on 18 Jul 2025. Previously, they beat Hull 1-0 away three months ago.

Derby Streaks (last matches)

No positive streaks to show.
Get the latest Championship table and stats, and find our predictions here.

Confirmed Lineups for Stoke vs Derby

Stoke (formation 4-3-3)
1
V. Johansson
22
J. Tchamadeu
18
B. Lawal
16
B. Wilmot
3
A. Cresswell
4
B. Pearson
8
L. Baker
10
B. Jun-Ho
42
M. Manhoef
9
D. Mubama
7
S. Thomas
1
J. W. Zetterström
3
C. Forsyth
5
M. Clarke
4
D. Batth
24
R. Nyambe
11
C. Taylor
16
L. Thompson
17
K. Goudmijn
19
K. Jackson
32
E. Adams
9
C. Morris
Derby (formation 4-4-2)

Stoke vs Derby Odds & Picks

You can change the odds format from the top menu.

Outcome-Based Odds

Full Time Result

1
2.20
X
3.20
2
3.30

Double Chance

1X
1.33
X2
1.67
12
1.36

Half Time Result

1
3.00
X
1.95
2
4.33

First Team To Score

1
1.83
None
7.00
2
2.38
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Match Goals, Corners And Handicap Odds

Both Teams To Score

Yes
2.20
No
1.61

Total Goals (2.5)

Under
1.50
Over
2.63

Asian Handicap

1 (-0.25)
1.90
2 (0.25)
1.95

Match Corners (9.5)

Over
1.73
Under
2.00
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Team Related Odds

Stoke Corners (4.5)

Over
1.67
Pick
Under
2.10
Stoke average corners per match (last 10): 3.8

Derby Corners (4.5)

Over
1.80
Pick
Under
1.91
Derby average corners per match (last 10): 2.5

Stoke Cards (1.5)

Over
1.61
Pick
Under
2.20
Stoke average cards per match (last 10): 1.3

Derby Cards (2.5)

Over
2.50
Pick
Under
1.50
Derby average cards per match (last 10): 0.7

Correct Score Prediction

Our Prediction: Stoke-Derby 1-0

Correct Score

Pick
1-0
6.00
1-1
6.50
0-0
7.00
0-1
7.50
2-0
9.00
2-1
10.00

Goalscorer

Our Prediction: Robert Bozenik

To Score Anytime

Pick
Robert Bozenik
3.00
Divin Mubama
3.60
Carlton Morris
4.00
Lars-Jorgen Salvesen
4.00
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Pre Match Statistics

Form Guide

These stats present averages and percentages for various metrics, highlighting key data into each team's current form. You can identify which team is more dominant, in both positive and negative aspects. The data is based on the last 10 matches across all competitions for both teams.
Points Per Game (Overall)
Stoke
Derby
1.4
2
Points Per Game (Home/Away)
Stoke (H)
Derby (A)
1.4
2.29
Win Percentage (Overall)
Stoke
Derby
40%
60%
Win Percentage (Home/Away)
Stoke (H)
Derby (A)
40%
71%
Both Teams To Score (Overall)
Stoke
Derby
30%
60%
Both Teams To Score (Home/Away)
Stoke (H)
Derby (A)
20%
86%
Over 2.5 Goals (Overall)
Stoke
Derby
30%
50%
Over 2.5 Goals (Home/Away)
Stoke (H)
Derby (A)
0%
71%

Head to Head Statistics

Overall H2H (15 matches):
Stoke
Derby
6 Wins
4 Draws
5 Wins
When Stoke play at home against Derby, the H2H record looks like this:
Stoke
(at home)
Derby
(at away)
4 Wins
1 Draws
2 Wins
H2H Betting Stats (overall):
BTTS
Yes - 40% (6/15)
No - 60% (9/15)
2.5 Goals O/U
Over - 60% (9/15)
Under - 40% (6/15)

Last Head to Head Matches

Championship (03 May 2025)
Derby
0-0
Stoke
Championship (02 Nov 2024)
Stoke
2-1
Derby
Club Friendly Games (22 Jul 2023)
Derby
3-0
Stoke
Championship (30 Dec 2021)
Stoke
1-2
Derby
Championship (18 Sep 2021)
Derby
2-1
Stoke