The Brasileirão Série A 19th round features the match between Vasco and Atlético-MG on 10 August 2025. Rio de Janeiro's Estádio São Januário is the venue.
Vasco is currently in the 17th spot (in the relegation zone) with 15 points, while Atlético Mineiro is 10th (middle table) on 23 points. Atlético Mineiro sits higher in the table than Vasco, with seven places and eight points in between.
Vasco vs Atlético-MG H2H History
Vasco da Gama will host Atlético-MG eight months after their previous H2H match, which saw Vasco da Gama winning 2-0, at Estádio São Januário. In that match, Vasco da Gama had 4 shots on target with a 58% ball possession, while Atlético Mineiro attempted 3 shots on the goal and kept the ball 42% of the time. Philippe Coutinho (64') and Pablo Vegetti (52') scored for Vasco da Gama.
Vasco vs Atlético-MG Prediction
Vasco appears to have a good chance of winning against Atlético Mineiro. Some sources differ — the last 10 matches lean toward a victory for the away team. When prediction models conflict, take it as an opportunity to dig deeper. Both teams are likely to score, but our confidence is low in this outcome. Under 2.5 goals is our prediction, with backing from our models and stats.
Match Winner
H2H Analysis
Vasco
strong
Current Form
Atlético-MG
strong
Betting Trend
Vasco
weak
Our pick: Vasco to win @ 2.55
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Will Both Teams Score?
H2H Analysis
Yes
strong
Current Form
No
weak
Betting Trend
No
moderate
Our pick: BTTS Yes @ 2.00
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Total Match Goals Over/Under?
H2H Analysis
Over 2.5
weak
Current Form
Under 2.5
strong
Betting Trend
Under 2.5
strong
Our pick: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.53
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Vasco vs Atlético-MG Live Stream & TV Stations
Live broadcasts of the Vasco da Gama and Atlético Mineiro game can be found on a handful of platforms. You can watch this encounter live on Fanatiz, if you're in the United States. Live streaming is available for Portugal audiences through Canal+. More live streaming services may be added; we'll update with new details. See the current links below:
With 3 defeats in their last 7 games and only 0 wins, Vasco da Gama's 0% success rate highlights their struggles. Vasco approaches this fixture after falling 2-3 away to Mirassol on Aug 2, 2025.
In their recent 7-match run, Vasco scored 5 times (0.71/match) and allowed 12 goals (1.71 per match). The team was shown 2.2 cards per match, and won 6 corners on average. They had 5.3 shots on target per game and a possession of 57%. Over this period, Pablo Vegetti topped the scoring chart with 2 goals, followed by José Luis Rodríguez (2), Lucas Freitas (1), and Rayan (1 goal). David topped the assist chart with 1, ahead of José Luis Rodríguez (1 assist) and Lucas Piton (1).
Vasco Streaks (last matches)
No positive streaks to show.
• Vasco da Gama's winless streak extends to 7 consecutive matches.
At Home:
• At home, Vasco has been unable to secure a clean sheet in their last three games.
• For 3 home matches in a row, Vasco has been unable to win.
At Away:
• On the road, Vasco da Gama is winless in their last four fixtures.
No betting streaks to show.
Showing Inconsistency, Atlético Mineiro's Form is Uneven
Today's visitors Atlético-MG have struggled to find rhythm recently. Their record shows 3 victories paired with 0 draws and 5 defeats from their previous 8 games. Atlético Mineiro enters this match after a 0-1 (4-3 pen) home setback against Flamengo on August 6, 2025.
Atlético Mineiro scored 14 goals in their last 8 matches across all competitions (1.75 per match) and conceded 13 in total (1.63 per match). They averaged 4.4 shots on target per game. The team received 2 cards and earned an average of 4.1 corners, per each match. They also maintained 46% possession. Over this period, Hulk topped the scoring chart with 4 goals, followed by Tomás Cuello (4), Igor Gomes (1), and Natanael (1 goal). Key assist providers were Biel with 1, João Marcelo with 1.
Atlético-MG notched up some impressive results against top-tier opponents: they managed a win against RB Bragantino (2-1) in Brasileirão Betano while playing at home on Aug 3, 2025, which marks another great performance following a 1-0 victory with Flamengo (August 1, 2025). Previously, they beat Bucaramanga 1-0 away three weeks ago. One recent match proved difficult for Atlético-MG: they failed to secure a win, losing 0-1 home with Bucaramanga (CONMEBOL Sudamericana, July 25, 2025).
Atlético-MG Streaks (last matches)
No positive streaks to show.
At Home:
• In their recent three home games, Atlético-MG has failed to keep their net clean.
Atlético-MG average corners per match (last 10): 2.4
Vasco Cards (2.5)
Over
2.00
Under
1.73
Atlético-MG Cards (2.5)
Over
1.91
Under
1.80
Correct Score Prediction
Our Prediction: Vasco-Atlético-MG 1-0
Correct Score
1-1
6.00
0-0
6.50
Pick
1-0
7.00
0-1
7.50
2-1
11.00
2-0
11.00
Goalscorer
Our Prediction: Pablo Vegetti
To Score Anytime
Pick
Pablo Vegetti
2.50
Hulk
3.40
Junior Santos
3.50
Oliveira Pedro Ataide
3.50
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Pre Match Statistics
Form Guide
These stats present averages and percentages for various metrics, highlighting key data into each team's current form. You can identify which team is more dominant, in both positive and negative aspects. The data is based on the last 7 matches for Vasco, and last 8 matches for Atlético-MG, across all competitions.
Points Per Game (Overall)
Vasco
Atlético-MG
0.57
1.13
Points Per Game (Home/Away)
Vasco (H)
Atlético-MG (A)
0.67
1.2
Win Percentage (Overall)
Vasco
Atlético-MG
0%
38%
Win Percentage (Home/Away)
Vasco (H)
Atlético-MG (A)
0%
40%
Both Teams To Score (Overall)
Vasco
Atlético-MG
57%
63%
Both Teams To Score (Home/Away)
Vasco (H)
Atlético-MG (A)
67%
40%
Over 2.5 Goals (Overall)
Vasco
Atlético-MG
29%
63%
Over 2.5 Goals (Home/Away)
Vasco (H)
Atlético-MG (A)
0%
40%
Head to Head Statistics
Overall H2H (26 matches):
Vasco
Atlético-MG
11 Wins
5 Draws
10 Wins
When Vasco play at home against Atlético-MG, the H2H record looks like this: